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Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546696","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship South","match":"Newport City FC v Treowen Stars","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.11,"confidence":0.857,"leagueFavRate":0.874,"sample":151,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship South: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.91/4.8/3.72) -> this market hit 87% over 151 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.85 (1X2 1.85/4.0/3.3); table 13 v 8/16; team support: Newport City FC home 80% of 10, Treowen Stars away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546160","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"20:00","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Connah`s Quay Nomads FC v Flint Town United","market":"Double chance","selection":"Connah`s Quay Nomads FC or Flint Town United","odds":1.15,"confidence":0.853,"leagueFavRate":0.87,"sample":138,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.49/5.17/7.33) -> this market hit 87% over 138 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.34 (1X2 1.34/5.0/7.4); table 2 v 13/16; team support: Connah`s Quay Nomads FC home 80% of 10, Flint Town United away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522158","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship, North","match":"Bala Town FC v Guilsfield FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Bala Town FC or Guilsfield FC","odds":1.21,"confidence":0.838,"leagueFavRate":0.864,"sample":118,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship, North: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.15/4.51/3.2) -> this market hit 86% over 118 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.74 (1X2 1.74/4.0/3.75); table 5 v 8/16; team support: Bala Town FC home 90% of 10, Guilsfield FC away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546692","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship, North","match":"Ruthin Town v Newtown AFC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.836,"leagueFavRate":0.862,"sample":325,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship, North: unbalanced games (model prices 5.6/4.1/1.73) -> this market hit 86% over 325 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.39 (1X2 6.3/4.7/1.39); table 13 v 2/16; team support: Ruthin Town home 90% of 10, Newtown AFC away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546704","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Cambrian United v Barry Town United FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.15,"confidence":0.826,"leagueFavRate":0.852,"sample":149,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: high draw odds games (model prices 2.91/4.82/2.23) -> this market hit 85% over 149 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 3.0/3.7/2.1); table 9 v 6/16; team support: Cambrian United home 70% of 10, Barry Town United FC away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522156","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Belgium - Pro League","match":"Standard Liege v KV Waasland-Beveren","market":"Double chance","selection":"Standard Liege or KV Waasland-Beveren","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.823,"leagueFavRate":0.808,"sample":239,"case":"Belgium - Pro League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (market prices 1.87/3.89/4.05) -> this market hit 81% over 239 games (closing odds (football-data.co.uk), 3 seasons); fav price 1.87 (1X2 1.87/3.89/4.05); table 9 v 12/18; team support: Standard Liege home 70% of 10, KV Waasland-Beveren away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72366436","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship, North","match":"Denbigh Town v Mold Alexandra FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Denbigh Town or Mold Alexandra FC","odds":1.24,"confidence":0.823,"leagueFavRate":0.831,"sample":177,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship, North: balanced games (model prices 3.01/4.8/2.18) -> this market hit 83% over 177 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.25 (1X2 2.6/3.8/2.25); table 12 v 3/16; team support: Denbigh Town home 90% of 10, Mold Alexandra FC away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546694","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"Netherlands - Eerste Divisie","match":"TOP Oss v RKC Waalwijk","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.17,"confidence":0.82,"leagueFavRate":0.82,"sample":428,"case":"Netherlands - Eerste Divisie: balanced games (model prices 2.46/4.25/2.79) -> this market hit 82% over 428 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.87 (1X2 3.75/3.9/1.87); table 15 v 12/20; team support: TOP Oss home 100% of 10, RKC Waalwijk away 100% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72044800","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:30","league":"Germany - 2. Bundesliga","match":"Dynamo Dresden v Greuther Furth","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.819,"leagueFavRate":0.836,"sample":330,"case":"Germany - 2. Bundesliga: balanced games (model prices 2.51/4.16/2.76) -> this market hit 84% over 330 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.94 (1X2 1.94/3.8/3.7); table 18 v 9/18; team support: Dynamo Dresden home 80% of 10, Greuther Furth away 80% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72513968","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"14:00","league":"Algeria - Ligue 2","match":"WA Tlemcen v GC Mascara","market":"Double chance","selection":"WA Tlemcen or Draw","odds":1.44,"confidence":0.818,"leagueFavRate":0.843,"sample":223,"case":"Algeria - Ligue 2: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 5.66/4.01/1.74) -> this market hit 84% over 223 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.75/3.0/2.45); table 12 v 1/16; team support: WA Tlemcen home 90% of 10, GC Mascara away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76161228","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"22:30","league":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie B","match":"Botafogo FC SP v Londrina EC PR","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.33,"confidence":0.815,"leagueFavRate":0.84,"sample":163,"case":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie B: favourites at 1.71-2.00 -> this market hit 84% over 163 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.73 (1X2 1.73/3.7/4.7); table 12 v 18/20; team support: Botafogo FC SP home 70% of 10, Londrina EC PR away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 5. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:68823446","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Trefelin BGC v Colwyn Bay","market":"Double chance","selection":"Trefelin BGC or Colwyn Bay","odds":1.12,"confidence":0.815,"leagueFavRate":0.823,"sample":266,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: unbalanced games (model prices 5.4/4.47/1.69) -> this market hit 82% over 266 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.26 (1X2 9.3/5.6/1.26); table 15 v 5/16; team support: Trefelin BGC home 90% of 10, Colwyn Bay away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 1. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522168","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Austria Amateur - Steiermark, Landesliga","match":"Fehring 1947 v DSV Leoben","market":"Double chance","selection":"Fehring 1947 or DSV Leoben","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.814,"leagueFavRate":0.857,"sample":98,"case":"Austria Amateur - Steiermark, Landesliga: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.44/6.54/6.59) -> this market hit 86% over 98 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.44 (1X2 1.44/4.6/5.3); table 12 v 16/16; team support: Fehring 1947 home 60% of 10, DSV Leoben away 100% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72573136","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Denmark - Superliga","match":"Silkeborg IF v Lyngby BK","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.814,"leagueFavRate":0.831,"sample":136,"case":"Denmark - Superliga: high draw odds games (model prices 2.07/4.55/3.36) -> this market hit 83% over 136 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.45/3.75/2.7); table 9 v 11/12; team support: Silkeborg IF home 90% of 10, Lyngby BK away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:71925084","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:15","league":"Switzerland - Challenge League","match":"FC Aarau v FC Wil 1900","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.14,"confidence":0.81,"leagueFavRate":0.818,"sample":187,"case":"Switzerland - Challenge League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.88/4.82/3.84) -> this market hit 82% over 187 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.79 (1X2 1.79/3.9/3.8); table 6 v 9/10; team support: FC Aarau home 90% of 10, FC Wil 1900 away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72176636","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Poland - II Liga","match":"CWKS Resovia v Gornik Leczna","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.24,"confidence":0.808,"leagueFavRate":0.825,"sample":314,"case":"Poland - II Liga: unbalanced games (model prices 4.82/4.23/1.8) -> this market hit 82% over 314 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 3.1/3.33/2.1); table 18 v 3/18; team support: CWKS Resovia home 80% of 10, Gornik Leczna away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72398806","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Ammanford v Briton Ferry","market":"Double chance","selection":"Ammanford or Briton Ferry","odds":1.19,"confidence":0.807,"leagueFavRate":0.823,"sample":266,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: unbalanced games (model prices 3.47/4.26/2.1) -> this market hit 82% over 266 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.48 (1X2 5.8/4.3/1.48); table 14 v 12/16; team support: Ammanford home 80% of 10, Briton Ferry away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522154","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"13:00","league":"Croatia - Prva NL","match":"NK Kustosija Zagreb v Orijent 1919 Rijeka","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.26,"confidence":0.806,"leagueFavRate":0.831,"sample":130,"case":"Croatia - Prva NL: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.53/3.32/3.3) -> this market hit 83% over 130 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.95 (1X2 1.95/3.25/3.6); table 8 v 5/16; team support: NK Kustosija Zagreb home 70% of 10, Orijent 1919 Rijeka away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73070200","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"03:05","league":"Mexico - Liga de Expansion MX","match":"Alacranes de Durango v Leones Negros UDEG","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.23,"confidence":0.806,"leagueFavRate":0.818,"sample":99,"case":"Mexico - Liga de Expansion MX: balanced games (model prices 2.55/4.12/2.74) -> this market hit 82% over 99 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.93 (1X2 1.93/3.4/3.6); table 7 v 2/16; team support: Alacranes de Durango home 90% of 10, Leones Negros UDEG away 100% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76388270","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"22:30","league":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie A","match":"SE Palmeiras SP v Clube do Remo PA","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.17,"confidence":0.806,"leagueFavRate":0.791,"sample":373,"case":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie A: high draw odds games (market prices 1.24/6.4/11.5) -> this market hit 79% over 373 games (closing odds (football-data.co.uk), 3 seasons); fav price 1.24 (1X2 1.24/6.4/11.5); table 2 v 19/20; team support: SE Palmeiras SP home 70% of 10, Clube do Remo PA away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 1. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:66887144","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"16:00","league":"Uganda - Premier League","match":"Express FC v Blacks Power FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.17,"confidence":0.804,"leagueFavRate":0.838,"sample":284,"case":"Uganda - Premier League: balanced games (model prices 2.36/3.37/3.58) -> this market hit 84% over 284 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.99 (1X2 1.99/3.0/3.7); table 14 v 7/18; team support: Express FC home 60% of 10, Blacks Power FC away 100% of 10; H2H 50% of 2. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73961730","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"22:30","league":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie B","match":"Operario Ferroviario EC PR v SC Recife PE","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.36,"confidence":0.804,"leagueFavRate":0.829,"sample":537,"case":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie B: balanced games (model prices 2.53/3.73/2.97) -> this market hit 83% over 537 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.35 (1X2 2.95/3.4/2.35); table 11 v 8/20; team support: Operario Ferroviario EC PR home 70% of 10, SC Recife PE away 90% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:68823452","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Germany - Bundesliga","match":"Hamburg v Borussia M´gladbach","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.19,"confidence":0.803,"leagueFavRate":0.811,"sample":143,"case":"Germany - Bundesliga: balanced games (model prices 2.17/4.7/3.07) -> this market hit 81% over 143 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.53 (1X2 2.53/3.74/2.8); table 15 v 18/18; team support: Hamburg home 90% of 10, Borussia M´gladbach away 100% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72513304","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Conference League","match":"FC Midtjylland v Ajax","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.14,"confidence":0.803,"leagueFavRate":0.819,"sample":116,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Conference League: balanced games (model prices 2.33/4.67/2.8) -> this market hit 82% over 116 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.48 (1X2 2.77/3.9/2.48); table 25 v 13/36; team support: FC Midtjylland home 80% of 10, Ajax away 100% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173280","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:45","league":"Portugal - Liga Portugal 2","match":"AVS Futebol SAD v FC Vizela","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.803,"leagueFavRate":0.819,"sample":116,"case":"Portugal - Liga Portugal 2: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 82% over 116 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.2 (1X2 3.2/3.2/2.2); table 10 v 8/18; team support: AVS Futebol SAD home 90% of 10, FC Vizela away 80% of 10; H2H 67% of 3. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72531648","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:30","league":"Switzerland - Challenge League","match":"FC Stade Nyonnais v Stade Lausanne Ouchy","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.15,"confidence":0.802,"leagueFavRate":0.818,"sample":187,"case":"Switzerland - Challenge League: unbalanced games (model prices 6.92/4.77/1.55) -> this market hit 82% over 187 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.4 (1X2 6.4/4.7/1.4); table 10 v 1/10; team support: FC Stade Nyonnais home 80% of 10, Stade Lausanne Ouchy away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72176638","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:00","league":"Iraq - Stars League","match":"Al Kahrabaa SC v Zakho FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.801,"leagueFavRate":0.826,"sample":264,"case":"Iraq - Stars League: low draw odds games (model prices 2.6/3.15/3.37) -> this market hit 83% over 264 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.25 (1X2 3.2/3.0/2.25); table 19 v 14/20; team support: Al Kahrabaa SC home 80% of 10, Zakho FC away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75949104","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"13:45","league":"Iraq - Stars League","match":"AL Talaba v Ghaz Al-Shamal SC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.17,"confidence":0.801,"leagueFavRate":0.826,"sample":264,"case":"Iraq - Stars League: low draw odds games (model prices 2.43/3.06/3.83) -> this market hit 83% over 264 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.15 (1X2 2.15/3.1/3.25); table 8 v 11/20; team support: AL Talaba home 70% of 10, Ghaz Al-Shamal SC away 100% of 7; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75949112","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"Belgium - Challenger Pro League","match":"Sporting Hasselt v Patro Eisden Maasmechelen","market":"Double chance","selection":"Sporting Hasselt or Patro Eisden Maasmechelen","odds":1.26,"confidence":0.801,"leagueFavRate":0.809,"sample":157,"case":"Belgium - Challenger Pro League: high draw odds games (model prices 2.19/4.34/3.21) -> this market hit 81% over 157 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.2 (1X2 2.2/3.5/2.8); table 4 v 7/15; team support: Sporting Hasselt home 90% of 10, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72302202","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"20:00","league":"England - Championship","match":"Derby County v Bolton Wanderers","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.799,"leagueFavRate":0.793,"sample":426,"case":"England - Championship: high draw odds games (market prices 2.49/3.67/2.8) -> this market hit 79% over 426 games (closing odds (football-data.co.uk), 3 seasons); fav price 2.49 (1X2 2.49/3.67/2.8); table 23 v 16/24; team support: Derby County home 80% of 10, Bolton Wanderers away 60% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72340018","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"13:00","league":"Croatia - Prva NL","match":"NK Sesvete v NK BSK Bijelo Brdo","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.799,"leagueFavRate":0.815,"sample":287,"case":"Croatia - Prva NL: balanced games (model prices 2.52/3.53/3.13) -> this market hit 82% over 287 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.0 (1X2 2.0/3.1/3.5); table 12 v 7/16; team support: NK Sesvete home 90% of 10, NK BSK Bijelo Brdo away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73070202","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"14:00","league":"Algeria - Ligue 2","match":"JSM Skikda v Nrb Teleghma","market":"Double chance","selection":"JSM Skikda or Nrb Teleghma","odds":1.21,"confidence":0.799,"leagueFavRate":0.815,"sample":313,"case":"Algeria - Ligue 2: high draw odds games (model prices 2.09/3.72/3.94) -> this market hit 82% over 313 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.39 (1X2 1.39/3.75/8.75); table 7 v 13/16; team support: JSM Skikda home 90% of 10, Nrb Teleghma away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76161284","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Denmark - 2nd Division","match":"FC Roskilde v HIK Hellerup","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.798,"leagueFavRate":0.814,"sample":113,"case":"Denmark - 2nd Division: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.53/4.95/6.94) -> this market hit 81% over 113 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.49 (1X2 1.49/4.2/5.3); table 2 v 10/12; team support: FC Roskilde home 80% of 10, HIK Hellerup away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72499136","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"14:00","league":"Algeria - Ligue 2","match":"CA Batna v Paradou AC","market":"Double chance","selection":"CA Batna or Draw","odds":1.15,"confidence":0.797,"leagueFavRate":0.822,"sample":174,"case":"Algeria - Ligue 2: favourites at 1.51-1.70 -> this market hit 82% over 174 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.69 (1X2 1.69/3.2/5.1); table 11 v 10/16; team support: CA Batna home 70% of 10, Paradou AC away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 1. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76161280","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Conference League","match":"Kuopion Palloseura v Gent","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.794,"leagueFavRate":0.819,"sample":116,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Conference League: balanced games (model prices 3.43/3.67/2.29) -> this market hit 82% over 116 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.69 (1X2 5.39/4.12/1.69); table 34 v 17/36; team support: Kuopion Palloseura home 70% of 10, Gent away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173286","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"PFC Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia Bialystok","market":"Double chance","selection":"PFC Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia Bialystok","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.794,"leagueFavRate":0.814,"sample":97,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: balanced games (model prices 2.73/3.76/2.71) -> this market hit 81% over 97 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.07 (1X2 2.07/3.7/3.74); table 17 v 27/36; team support: PFC Levski Sofia home 90% of 10, Jagiellonia Bialystok away 90% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173032","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Austria Amateur - Wiener Stadtliga","match":"SC Red Star Penzing v SV Schwechat","market":"Double chance","selection":"SC Red Star Penzing or SV Schwechat","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.791,"leagueFavRate":0.799,"sample":149,"case":"Austria Amateur - Wiener Stadtliga: unbalanced games (model prices 1.74/4.93/4.49) -> this market hit 80% over 149 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.6 (1X2 1.6/4.0/4.4); table 2 v 11/16; team support: SC Red Star Penzing home 100% of 10, SV Schwechat away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72676140","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"20:00","league":"England - Premier League","match":"Everton v Coventry City","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.789,"leagueFavRate":0.822,"sample":191,"case":"England - Premier League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.9/3.92/4.59) -> this market hit 82% over 191 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.76 (1X2 1.76/4.12/4.77); table 7 v 16/20; team support: Everton home 80% of 10, Coventry City away 60% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72221378","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Spain - Primera Federacion","match":"CP Cacereno SAD v CD Lugo","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.28,"confidence":0.789,"leagueFavRate":0.805,"sample":498,"case":"Spain - Primera Federacion: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 3.19/3.43/2.53) -> this market hit 80% over 498 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.4 (1X2 2.4/3.2/2.75); table 8 v 1/20; team support: CP Cacereno SAD home 90% of 10, CD Lugo away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72559206","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"France - Ligue 1","match":"Toulouse v Strasbourg","market":"Double chance","selection":"Toulouse or Strasbourg","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.789,"leagueFavRate":0.813,"sample":182,"case":"France - Ligue 1: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 2.09/4.54/3.32) -> this market hit 81% over 182 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.14 (1X2 2.14/3.86/3.41); table 12 v 13/18; team support: Toulouse home 70% of 10, Strasbourg away 100% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72036290","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Poland - Ekstraklasa","match":"LKP Motor Lublin v Wisla Plock","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.788,"leagueFavRate":0.804,"sample":224,"case":"Poland - Ekstraklasa: unbalanced games (model prices 2.09/4.13/3.58) -> this market hit 80% over 224 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.97 (1X2 1.97/3.7/3.5); table 11 v 12/18; team support: LKP Motor Lublin home 80% of 10, Wisla Plock away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72043308","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Cyprus - 1st Division","match":"Nea Salamina Famagusta v Omonia Aradippou","market":"Double chance","selection":"Nea Salamina Famagusta or Omonia Aradippou","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.786,"leagueFavRate":0.819,"sample":160,"case":"Cyprus - 1st Division: low draw odds games (model prices 2.28/3.88/3.29) -> this market hit 82% over 160 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.92 (1X2 1.92/3.33/3.8); table 13 v 11/14; team support: Nea Salamina Famagusta home 80% of 10, Omonia Aradippou away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73160468","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Austria - 2. Liga","match":"FC Admira Wacker Modling v SKN St Polten","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.46,"confidence":0.784,"leagueFavRate":0.817,"sample":131,"case":"Austria - 2. Liga: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.24/3.4/3.85) -> this market hit 82% over 131 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.55/3.5/2.45); table 5 v 11/16; team support: FC Admira Wacker Modling home 80% of 10, SKN St Polten away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72440752","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:30","league":"Romania - Superliga","match":"ACS Champions FC Arges v FC Dinamo Bucuresti 1948","market":"Double chance","selection":"ACS Champions FC Arges or FC Dinamo Bucuresti 1948","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.784,"leagueFavRate":0.808,"sample":146,"case":"Romania - Superliga: unbalanced games (model prices 5.98/3.85/1.75) -> this market hit 81% over 146 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.89 (1X2 4.1/3.5/1.89); table 14 v 1/16; team support: ACS Champions FC Arges home 70% of 10, FC Dinamo Bucuresti 1948 away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72388094","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:30","league":"Israel - Liga Alef","match":"Beitar Naharia v FC Zeirey Tamra","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.782,"leagueFavRate":0.79,"sample":219,"case":"Israel - Liga Alef: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.52/5.33/6.49) -> this market hit 79% over 219 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.33 (1X2 1.33/4.8/8.1); table 5 v 15/18; team support: Beitar Naharia home 100% of 6, FC Zeirey Tamra away 90% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74401676","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship South","match":"Afan Lido v Caerphilly Athletic FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.13,"confidence":0.782,"leagueFavRate":0.806,"sample":273,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship South: unbalanced games (model prices 2.04/4.46/3.51) -> this market hit 81% over 273 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.4 (1X2 2.45/3.8/2.4); table 10 v 11/16; team support: Afan Lido home 70% of 10, Caerphilly Athletic FC away 86% of 7; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546152","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:45","league":"Iraq - Stars League","match":"Diyala FC v AL Minaa","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.782,"leagueFavRate":0.806,"sample":496,"case":"Iraq - Stars League: balanced games (model prices 2.46/3.66/3.13) -> this market hit 81% over 496 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.7/3.0/2.55); table 13 v 9/20; team support: Diyala FC home 70% of 10, AL Minaa away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75949106","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Denmark - 1. Division","match":"AB Gladsaxe v Vendsyssel FF","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.17,"confidence":0.781,"leagueFavRate":0.789,"sample":175,"case":"Denmark - 1. Division: unbalanced games (model prices 1.88/4.13/4.43) -> this market hit 79% over 175 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.9 (1X2 1.9/3.8/3.7); table 4 v 10/12; team support: AB Gladsaxe home 90% of 10, Vendsyssel FF away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72044404","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"13:00","league":"Iraq - Stars League","match":"Newroz SC v Karbalaa","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.36,"confidence":0.78,"leagueFavRate":0.812,"sample":96,"case":"Iraq - Stars League: favourites at 1.36-1.50 -> this market hit 81% over 96 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.41 (1X2 1.41/4.1/6.9); table 5 v 20/20; team support: Newroz SC home 80% of 10, Karbalaa away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75949110","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Czechia - FNL","match":"FK Usti nad Labem v FK Viktoria Zizkov","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.17,"confidence":0.78,"leagueFavRate":0.796,"sample":221,"case":"Czechia - FNL: unbalanced games (model prices 1.86/4.34/4.32) -> this market hit 80% over 221 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.87 (1X2 1.87/3.6/3.6); table 6 v 13/16; team support: FK Usti nad Labem home 100% of 10, FK Viktoria Zizkov away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72300872","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"France - Ligue 2","match":"Dijon v Red Star FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Dijon or Red Star FC","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.779,"leagueFavRate":0.787,"sample":207,"case":"France - Ligue 2: unbalanced games (model prices 2.05/4.39/3.53) -> this market hit 79% over 207 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.6/3.5/2.55); table 8 v 6/18; team support: Dijon home 90% of 10, Red Star FC away 90% of 10; H2H 80% of 5. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72037438","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Cyprus - 1st Division","match":"AEK Larnaca v Karmiotissa FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.14,"confidence":0.778,"leagueFavRate":0.81,"sample":158,"case":"Cyprus - 1st Division: high draw odds games (model prices 1.39/5.55/9.81) -> this market hit 81% over 158 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.18 (1X2 1.18/6.6/12.0); table 1 v 9/14; team support: AEK Larnaca home 60% of 10, Karmiotissa FC away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73160460","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"15:00","league":"Armenia - Premier League","match":"FC BKMA Yerevan v FC Alashkert Yerevan","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.778,"leagueFavRate":0.81,"sample":210,"case":"Armenia - Premier League: unbalanced games (model prices 5.99/4.47/1.64) -> this market hit 81% over 210 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.26 (1X2 9.0/5.4/1.26); table 10 v 4/12; team support: FC BKMA Yerevan home 60% of 10, FC Alashkert Yerevan away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75881450","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"14:00","league":"Algeria - Ligue 2","match":"CR Beni Thour v NC Magra","market":"Double chance","selection":"CR Beni Thour or NC Magra","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.777,"leagueFavRate":0.844,"sample":90,"case":"Algeria - Ligue 2: balanced + high draw odds games (model prices 3.85/3.7/2.13) -> this market hit 84% over 90 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.59 (1X2 5.5/3.5/1.59); table 16 v 3/16; team support: CR Beni Thour home 70% of 10, NC Magra away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76161282","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:30","league":"Switzerland - Challenge League","match":"SC Kriens v FC Rapperswil-Jona","market":"Double chance","selection":"SC Kriens or Draw","odds":1.36,"confidence":0.777,"leagueFavRate":0.809,"sample":115,"case":"Switzerland - Challenge League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.82/4.84/4.09) -> this market hit 81% over 115 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.1/3.8/2.9); table 4 v 8/10; team support: SC Kriens home 70% of 10, FC Rapperswil-Jona away 60% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72176634","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship South","match":"Llanelli Town v Pontardawe Town FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Llanelli Town or Pontardawe Town FC","odds":1.15,"confidence":0.775,"leagueFavRate":0.791,"sample":273,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship South: unbalanced games (model prices 4.07/4.84/1.83) -> this market hit 79% over 273 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.41 (1X2 5.6/4.9/1.41); table 16 v 12/16; team support: Llanelli Town home 80% of 10, Pontardawe Town FC away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 5. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546158","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"15:00","league":"Belarus - Vysshaya Liga","match":"FC Gomel v FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk","market":"Double chance","selection":"FC Gomel or FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.774,"leagueFavRate":0.79,"sample":119,"case":"Belarus - Vysshaya Liga: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.78/4.18/5.06) -> this market hit 79% over 119 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.46 (1X2 1.46/4.1/6.5); table 7 v 12/16; team support: FC Gomel home 80% of 10, FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk away 90% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75706986","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"11:00","league":"Azerbaijan - First Division","match":"FK Karvan Yevlakh v Simal","market":"Double chance","selection":"FK Karvan Yevlakh or Simal","odds":1.21,"confidence":0.772,"leagueFavRate":0.788,"sample":146,"case":"Azerbaijan - First Division: unbalanced games (model prices 2.06/4.58/3.37) -> this market hit 79% over 146 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.6 (1X2 1.6/3.7/4.3); table 5 v 6/10; team support: FK Karvan Yevlakh home 90% of 10, Simal away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73730316","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"19:45","league":"France - Ligue 3","match":"Valenciennes FC v US Orleans","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.32,"confidence":0.769,"leagueFavRate":0.785,"sample":377,"case":"France - Ligue 3: balanced games (model prices 2.4/3.67/3.22) -> this market hit 78% over 377 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.25 (1X2 2.25/3.25/3.2); table 15 v 14/18; team support: Valenciennes FC home 90% of 10, US Orleans away 80% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72524008","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Italy - Serie C, Group A","match":"Alcione Milano v AC Lumezzane","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.33,"confidence":0.769,"leagueFavRate":0.801,"sample":161,"case":"Italy - Serie C, Group A: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 80% over 161 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.05 (1X2 2.05/3.25/3.4); table 7 v 11/20; team support: Alcione Milano home 60% of 10, AC Lumezzane away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73293314","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Poland - Ekstraklasa","match":"Wisla Krakow v KS Cracovia Krakow","market":"Double chance","selection":"Wisla Krakow or KS Cracovia Krakow","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.769,"leagueFavRate":0.801,"sample":141,"case":"Poland - Ekstraklasa: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.92/4.27/4.07) -> this market hit 80% over 141 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.83 (1X2 1.83/3.8/4.0); table 8 v 13/18; team support: Wisla Krakow home 80% of 10, KS Cracovia Krakow away 60% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72043312","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:00","league":"Zambia - Super League","match":"Napsa Stars v Power Dynamos","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 2.5","odds":1.38,"confidence":0.768,"leagueFavRate":0.8,"sample":110,"case":"Zambia - Super League: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 80% over 110 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 3.9/2.8/2.1); table 8 v 5/10; team support: Napsa Stars home 80% of 10, Power Dynamos away 60% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74201080","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=2.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Denmark - 2nd Division","match":"Thisted FC v BK Fremad Amager","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.767,"leagueFavRate":0.783,"sample":230,"case":"Denmark - 2nd Division: balanced games (model prices 2.89/4.08/2.44) -> this market hit 78% over 230 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.9/3.5/2.1); table 12 v 7/12; team support: Thisted FC home 80% of 10, BK Fremad Amager away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72499140","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"Netherlands - Eerste Divisie","match":"FC Dordrecht v NAC Breda","market":"Double chance","selection":"FC Dordrecht or NAC Breda","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.765,"leagueFavRate":0.789,"sample":266,"case":"Netherlands - Eerste Divisie: high draw odds games (model prices 3.2/4.7/2.11) -> this market hit 79% over 266 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.63 (1X2 4.5/4.4/1.63); table 19 v 6/20; team support: FC Dordrecht home 100% of 10, NAC Breda away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72044790","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"Netherlands - Eerste Divisie","match":"Helmond Sport v FC Volendam","market":"Double chance","selection":"Helmond Sport or FC Volendam","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.765,"leagueFavRate":0.789,"sample":266,"case":"Netherlands - Eerste Divisie: high draw odds games (model prices 2.62/4.8/2.44) -> this market hit 79% over 266 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.4 (1X2 2.6/3.9/2.4); table 17 v 7/20; team support: Helmond Sport home 70% of 10, FC Volendam away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72044794","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:15","league":"Bulgaria - Parva Liga","match":"Botev Plovdiv v FC Dunav Ruse","market":"Double chance","selection":"Botev Plovdiv or Draw","odds":1.11,"confidence":0.765,"leagueFavRate":0.877,"sample":81,"case":"Bulgaria - Parva Liga: favourites at 1.36-1.50 -> this market hit 88% over 81 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.4 (1X2 1.4/4.6/6.6); table 5 v 10/14; team support: Botev Plovdiv home 80% of 10, FC Dunav Ruse away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:71998242","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"France - Ligue 2","match":"Montpellier v Metz","market":"Double chance","selection":"Montpellier or Draw","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.764,"leagueFavRate":0.78,"sample":141,"case":"France - Ligue 2: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.83/4.13/4.75) -> this market hit 78% over 141 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.0 (1X2 2.0/3.5/3.7); table 2 v 10/18; team support: Montpellier home 80% of 10, Metz away 100% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72037444","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"11:00","league":"Ukraine - Premier League","match":"FC Polissya Zhytomyr v Veres Rivne","market":"Double chance","selection":"FC Polissya Zhytomyr or Veres Rivne","odds":1.12,"confidence":0.764,"leagueFavRate":0.788,"sample":146,"case":"Ukraine - Premier League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.4/5.39/9.82) -> this market hit 79% over 146 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.25 (1X2 1.25/5.6/10.0); table 2 v 12/16; team support: FC Polissya Zhytomyr home 90% of 10, Veres Rivne away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72409776","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"12:00","league":"Indonesia - Super League","match":"Madura United v Arema FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Madura United or Draw","odds":1.35,"confidence":0.764,"leagueFavRate":0.788,"sample":165,"case":"Indonesia - Super League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.96/4.76/3.59) -> this market hit 79% over 165 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.2 (1X2 2.2/3.4/2.9); table 3 v 11/18; team support: Madura United home 70% of 10, Arema FC away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73576704","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:30","league":"Austria Amateur - Regionalliga Ost","match":"Kremser SC v SV Leobendorf","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.764,"leagueFavRate":0.788,"sample":297,"case":"Austria Amateur - Regionalliga Ost: unbalanced games (model prices 1.93/4.38/3.95) -> this market hit 79% over 297 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.84 (1X2 1.84/3.8/3.4); table 4 v 11/16; team support: Kremser SC home 70% of 10, SV Leobendorf away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72548812","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"11:00","league":"Azerbaijan - First Division","match":"Zaqatala FK v Moik Baku","market":"Double chance","selection":"Zaqatala FK or Moik Baku","odds":1.15,"confidence":0.764,"leagueFavRate":0.788,"sample":146,"case":"Azerbaijan - First Division: unbalanced games (model prices 8.18/5.99/1.41) -> this market hit 79% over 146 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.36 (1X2 5.9/4.4/1.36); table 9 v 3/10; team support: Zaqatala FK home 100% of 10, Moik Baku away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73730318","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"20:15","league":"Spain - Primera Federacion","match":"Real Aviles CF v CD Extremadura","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.761,"leagueFavRate":0.777,"sample":273,"case":"Spain - Primera Federacion: balanced + high draw odds games (model prices 2.46/4.13/2.85) -> this market hit 78% over 273 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.45/3.33/2.55); table 9 v 5/20; team support: Real Aviles CF home 90% of 10, CD Extremadura away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72559220","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Austria Amateur - Regionalliga Ost","match":"FC Marchfeld Donauauen v SR Donaufeld","market":"Double chance","selection":"FC Marchfeld Donauauen or Draw","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.76,"leagueFavRate":0.784,"sample":167,"case":"Austria Amateur - Regionalliga Ost: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.6/4.96/5.73) -> this market hit 78% over 167 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.54 (1X2 1.54/4.25/4.6); table 1 v 7/16; team support: FC Marchfeld Donauauen home 70% of 10, SR Donaufeld away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72548808","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:00","league":"Uganda - Premier League","match":"Vipers SC v Lugazi Municipal FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.34,"confidence":0.759,"leagueFavRate":0.767,"sample":159,"case":"Uganda - Premier League: high draw odds games (model prices 1.5/4.43/9.26) -> this market hit 77% over 159 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.15 (1X2 1.15/5.8/17.0); table 9 v 13/18; team support: Vipers SC home 100% of 10, Lugazi Municipal FC away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73961724","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"16:30","league":"Qatar - Stars League","match":"AL Wakrah SC v Al Shahaniya","market":"Double chance","selection":"AL Wakrah SC or Al Shahaniya","odds":1.24,"confidence":0.759,"leagueFavRate":0.875,"sample":80,"case":"Qatar - Stars League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.66/5.35/4.78) -> this market hit 88% over 80 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.8 (1X2 1.8/3.8/3.8); table 6 v 10/12; team support: AL Wakrah SC home 70% of 10, Al Shahaniya away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75913806","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"23:00","league":"Bolivia - Copa Bolivia","match":"Club Bolivar v Real Potosi","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.758,"leagueFavRate":0.877,"sample":81,"case":"Bolivia - Copa Bolivia: unbalanced games (model prices 1.96/4.52/3.72) -> this market hit 88% over 81 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.19 (1X2 1.19/6.0/13.5); table 1 v 2/4; team support: Club Bolivar home 90% of 10, Real Potosi away 60% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75478300","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:00","league":"Rwanda - Premier League","match":"Marines FC Gisenyi v Police FC Rwanda","market":"Double chance","selection":"Marines FC Gisenyi or Draw","odds":1.19,"confidence":0.756,"leagueFavRate":0.779,"sample":145,"case":"Rwanda - Premier League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.7/4.03/6.12) -> this market hit 78% over 145 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.84 (1X2 1.84/2.95/4.0); table 3 v 11/18; team support: Marines FC Gisenyi home 70% of 10, Police FC Rwanda away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73806114","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"France - Ligue 2","match":"Nancy-Lorraine v Sochaux-Montbeliard","market":"Double chance","selection":"Nancy-Lorraine or Sochaux-Montbeliard","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.756,"leagueFavRate":0.787,"sample":207,"case":"France - Ligue 2: unbalanced games (model prices 1.75/3.88/5.91) -> this market hit 79% over 207 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.73 (1X2 1.73/3.6/4.9); table 3 v 13/18; team support: Nancy-Lorraine home 80% of 10, Sochaux-Montbeliard away 60% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72037446","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"Belgium - Nationale 1 VV","match":"KFC Merelbeke v KSK Heist","market":"Double chance","selection":"KFC Merelbeke or KSK Heist","odds":1.23,"confidence":0.755,"leagueFavRate":0.778,"sample":239,"case":"Belgium - Nationale 1 VV: balanced games (model prices 2.66/4.15/2.61) -> this market hit 78% over 239 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.74 (1X2 3.9/3.75/1.74); table 7 v 5/16; team support: KFC Merelbeke home 90% of 10, KSK Heist away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72533324","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Poland - 1. Liga","match":"Puszcza Niepolomice v Miedz Legnica","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.21,"confidence":0.752,"leagueFavRate":0.783,"sample":337,"case":"Poland - 1. Liga: balanced games (model prices 3.05/3.7/2.49) -> this market hit 78% over 337 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.3 (1X2 2.7/3.5/2.3); table 16 v 8/18; team support: Puszcza Niepolomice home 60% of 10, Miedz Legnica away 80% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72230860","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"08:40","league":"Australia - A-League","match":"Sydney FC v Central Coast Mariners","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.19,"confidence":0.751,"leagueFavRate":0.782,"sample":133,"case":"Australia - A-League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.96/3.82/4.4) -> this market hit 78% over 133 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.49 (1X2 1.49/4.6/6.2); table 5 v 10/12; team support: Sydney FC home 60% of 10, Central Coast Mariners away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72897418","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Turkiye - 1. Lig","match":"Sariyer SK v Igdir FK","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.26,"confidence":0.75,"leagueFavRate":0.765,"sample":446,"case":"Turkiye - 1. Lig: balanced games (model prices 3.27/3.53/2.43) -> this market hit 76% over 446 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.4 (1X2 2.4/3.1/2.9); table 11 v 3/20; team support: Sariyer SK home 80% of 10, Igdir FK away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72735896","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"12:00","league":"Israel - Premier League","match":"Maccabi Tel Aviv FC v Maccabi Petah Tikva FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Maccabi Tel Aviv FC or Maccabi Petah Tikva FC","odds":1.1,"confidence":0.749,"leagueFavRate":0.772,"sample":254,"case":"Israel - Premier League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.3/7.72/9.99) -> this market hit 77% over 254 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.22 (1X2 1.22/6.6/11.0); table 1 v 9/14; team support: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC home 80% of 10, Maccabi Petah Tikva FC away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72225408","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:30","league":"Wales - Cymru Championship South","match":"Baglan Dragons v Ynyshir Albions","market":"Double chance","selection":"Ynyshir Albions or Draw","odds":1.33,"confidence":0.749,"leagueFavRate":0.822,"sample":90,"case":"Wales - Cymru Championship South: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 82% over 90 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 3.0/3.6/2.1); table 6 v 5/16; team support: Baglan Dragons home 80% of 10, Ynyshir Albions away 60% of 10; H2H 50% of 2. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72546154","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"11","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"France - Ligue 2","match":"Grenoble Foot v Reims","market":"Double chance","selection":"Grenoble Foot or Draw","odds":1.76,"confidence":0.749,"leagueFavRate":0.78,"sample":141,"case":"France - Ligue 2: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 4.03/4.19/1.95) -> this market hit 78% over 141 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.93 (1X2 3.9/3.5/1.93); table 18 v 4/18; team support: Grenoble Foot home 60% of 10, Reims away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72037442","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"11:00","league":"Ukraine - Premier League","match":"FC Obolon Kyiv v FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.21,"confidence":0.749,"leagueFavRate":0.828,"sample":87,"case":"Ukraine - Premier League: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 83% over 87 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.25 (1X2 3.33/3.0/2.25); table 14 v 13/16; team support: FC Obolon Kyiv home 70% of 10, FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 5. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72409790","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"01:30","league":"Colombia - Liga DIMAYOR","match":"Millonarios FC v America de Cali","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.26,"confidence":0.747,"leagueFavRate":0.841,"sample":82,"case":"Colombia - Liga DIMAYOR: favourites at 1.71-2.00 -> this market hit 84% over 82 games (PPG proxy, 1 season(s)); fav price 2.0 (1X2 2.0/3.25/3.8); table 6 v 2/20; team support: Millonarios FC home 80% of 10, America de Cali away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75837454","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"14:00","league":"Jordan - Jordan League","match":"AL Jazeera Club Amman v Ramtha SC","market":"Double chance","selection":"AL Jazeera Club Amman or Ramtha SC","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.745,"leagueFavRate":0.776,"sample":152,"case":"Jordan - Jordan League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.75/4.01/5.57) -> this market hit 78% over 152 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.5 (1X2 2.55/3.33/2.5); table 6 v 2/10; team support: AL Jazeera Club Amman home 60% of 10, Ramtha SC away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75178854","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"20:45","league":"Portugal - Liga Portugal","match":"FC Famalicao v FC Arouca","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.33,"confidence":0.743,"leagueFavRate":0.774,"sample":168,"case":"Portugal - Liga Portugal: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.84/3.61/2.7) -> this market hit 77% over 168 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.15 (1X2 2.15/3.52/3.56); table 11 v 5/18; team support: FC Famalicao home 60% of 10, FC Arouca away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72531006","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Turkiye - 1. Lig","match":"Antalyaspor v Bursaspor","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.39,"confidence":0.742,"leagueFavRate":0.765,"sample":446,"case":"Turkiye - 1. Lig: balanced games (model prices 3.42/4.2/2.13) -> this market hit 76% over 446 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.79 (1X2 4.0/3.7/1.79); table 7 v 1/20; team support: Antalyaspor home 70% of 10, Bursaspor away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72735892","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:30","league":"Uzbekistan - Superliga","match":"FC Bunyodkor v Xorazm Fk Urganch","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.36,"confidence":0.742,"leagueFavRate":0.765,"sample":102,"case":"Uzbekistan - Superliga: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 76% over 102 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.4 (1X2 2.4/3.3/2.65); table 13 v 15/16; team support: FC Bunyodkor home 80% of 10, Xorazm Fk Urganch away 70% of 10; H2H 80% of 5. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:68380648","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Haverfordwest County AFC v Cardiff Metropolitan University FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.24,"confidence":0.741,"leagueFavRate":0.764,"sample":106,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.83/3.87/2.58) -> this market hit 76% over 106 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.35 (1X2 2.35/3.4/2.8); table 11 v 8/16; team support: Haverfordwest County AFC home 70% of 10, Cardiff Metropolitan University FC away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522160","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"09:30","league":"Ukraine - Persha Liga","match":"FC Ingulets Petrove v FC Kulykiv-Bilka","market":"Double chance","selection":"FC Ingulets Petrove or FC Kulykiv-Bilka","odds":1.24,"confidence":0.74,"leagueFavRate":0.762,"sample":101,"case":"Ukraine - Persha Liga: high draw odds games (model prices 3.12/3.99/2.33) -> this market hit 76% over 101 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.0 (1X2 2.9/3.5/2.0); table 10 v 4/16; team support: FC Ingulets Petrove home 90% of 10, FC Kulykiv-Bilka away 71% of 7; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72550314","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"08:30","league":"Indonesia - Super League","match":"Psim Yogyakarta v Dewa United","market":"Double chance","selection":"Psim Yogyakarta or Dewa United","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.738,"leagueFavRate":0.761,"sample":339,"case":"Indonesia - Super League: balanced games (model prices 3.45/3.84/2.22) -> this market hit 76% over 339 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.85 (1X2 3.8/3.5/1.85); table 15 v 2/18; team support: Psim Yogyakarta home 70% of 10, Dewa United away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73576702","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"00:30","league":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie A","match":"Sao Paulo FC SP v SC Corinthians SP","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.48,"confidence":0.738,"leagueFavRate":0.717,"sample":364,"case":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie A: low draw odds games (market prices 2.55/3.1/3.0) -> this market hit 72% over 364 games (closing odds (football-data.co.uk), 3 seasons); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.55/3.1/3.0); table 10 v 17/20; team support: Sao Paulo FC SP home 80% of 10, SC Corinthians SP away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:66887142","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:30","league":"Austria - 2. Liga","match":"SKU Amstetten v Wacker Innsbruck","market":"Double chance","selection":"SKU Amstetten or Wacker Innsbruck","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.737,"leagueFavRate":0.768,"sample":246,"case":"Austria - 2. Liga: balanced games (model prices 2.2/4.03/3.37) -> this market hit 77% over 246 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.05 (1X2 2.05/3.6/3.2); table 6 v 10/16; team support: SKU Amstetten home 60% of 10, Wacker Innsbruck away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72440756","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:00","league":"Denmark - 1. Division","match":"HB Koege v Aalborg BK","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.736,"leagueFavRate":0.751,"sample":233,"case":"Denmark - 1. Division: balanced games (model prices 2.39/4.14/2.93) -> this market hit 75% over 233 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.65/3.7/2.45); table 11 v 8/12; team support: HB Koege home 80% of 10, Aalborg BK away 100% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72044400","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Turkiye - Super Lig","match":"Gaziantep FK v Kasimpasa Istanbul","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.731,"leagueFavRate":0.746,"sample":323,"case":"Turkiye - Super Lig: balanced games (model prices 3.4/3.81/2.25) -> this market hit 75% over 323 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.56 (1X2 2.56/3.5/2.83); table 16 v 5/18; team support: Gaziantep FK home 90% of 10, Kasimpasa Istanbul away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72723304","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"16:30","league":"Bahrain - First Division","match":"Al Ittihad v AL Tadamun Buri","market":"Double chance","selection":"Al Ittihad or AL Tadamun Buri","odds":1.13,"confidence":0.729,"leagueFavRate":0.759,"sample":166,"case":"Bahrain - First Division: unbalanced games (model prices 5.16/3.54/1.91) -> this market hit 76% over 166 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.27 (1X2 1.27/4.8/9.8); table 7 v 2/12; team support: Al Ittihad home 80% of 10, AL Tadamun Buri away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75947214","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"23:00","league":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie A","match":"EC Vitoria BA v Fluminense FC RJ","market":"Double chance","selection":"EC Vitoria BA or Fluminense FC RJ","odds":1.32,"confidence":0.728,"leagueFavRate":0.715,"sample":438,"case":"Brazil - Brasileiro Serie A: balanced games (market prices 2.8/3.33/2.55) -> this market hit 72% over 438 games (closing odds (football-data.co.uk), 3 seasons); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.8/3.33/2.55); table 14 v 4/20; team support: EC Vitoria BA home 90% of 10, Fluminense FC RJ away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:66887154","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"20:00","league":"Peru - Liga 1","match":"Atletico Grau v Cusco FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Atletico Grau or Cusco FC","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.722,"leagueFavRate":0.737,"sample":319,"case":"Peru - Liga 1: balanced games (model prices 2.65/3.71/2.84) -> this market hit 74% over 319 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.55/3.33/2.55); table 14 v 5/18; team support: Atletico Grau home 80% of 10, Cusco FC away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:71936228","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"17:00","league":"Czechia - FNL","match":"SFC Opava v FC Vlasim","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.4,"confidence":0.721,"leagueFavRate":0.743,"sample":113,"case":"Czechia - FNL: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 74% over 113 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.15 (1X2 2.15/3.33/3.1); table 11 v 4/16; team support: SFC Opava home 70% of 10, FC Vlasim away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72300868","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"France - Ligue 2","match":"US Boulogne v FC Annecy","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.721,"leagueFavRate":0.751,"sample":422,"case":"France - Ligue 2: balanced games (model prices 2.47/3.29/3.44) -> this market hit 75% over 422 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.45/3.1/3.1); table 14 v 7/18; team support: US Boulogne home 90% of 10, FC Annecy away 60% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72037434","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"16:30","league":"Slovenia - PrvaLiga","match":"Nafta 1903 Lendava v Olimpija Ljubljana","market":"Double chance","selection":"Nafta 1903 Lendava or Olimpija Ljubljana","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.721,"leagueFavRate":0.728,"sample":169,"case":"Slovenia - PrvaLiga: balanced games (model prices 2.7/3.58/2.86) -> this market hit 73% over 169 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.82 (1X2 4.0/3.5/1.82); table 6 v 3/10; team support: Nafta 1903 Lendava home 90% of 10, Olimpija Ljubljana away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72278536","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"14:00","league":"Algeria - Ligue 2","match":"Nrb Nezla v NR Beni Oulbene","market":"Double chance","selection":"Nrb Nezla or NR Beni Oulbene","odds":1.33,"confidence":0.716,"leagueFavRate":0.746,"sample":610,"case":"Algeria - Ligue 2: balanced games (model prices 3.9/3.1/2.38) -> this market hit 75% over 610 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.25 (1X2 2.25/2.95/3.1); table 14 v 8/16; team support: Nrb Nezla home 80% of 5, NR Beni Oulbene away 60% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76161276","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"16:30","league":"Russia - Premier League","match":"Lokomotiv Moscow v FK Rubin Kazan","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.713,"leagueFavRate":0.743,"sample":144,"case":"Russia - Premier League: balanced games (model prices 2.25/3.85/3.39) -> this market hit 74% over 144 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.1/3.5/3.4); table 14 v 10/16; team support: Lokomotiv Moscow home 60% of 10, FK Rubin Kazan away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72334416","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"Slovenia - 2. Liga","match":"NK Dekani v NK Bistrica Slovenska Bistrica","market":"Double chance","selection":"NK Dekani or NK Bistrica Slovenska Bistrica","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.713,"leagueFavRate":0.743,"sample":140,"case":"Slovenia - 2. Liga: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.8/3.17/3.06) -> this market hit 74% over 140 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.55/3.2/2.55); table 11 v 4/16; team support: NK Dekani home 60% of 10, NK Bistrica Slovenska Bistrica away 80% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72281448","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:30","league":"Austria Amateur - Regionalliga Ost","match":"FCM Traiskirchen v SC Wiener Viktoria","market":"Double chance","selection":"FCM Traiskirchen or Draw","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.712,"leagueFavRate":0.742,"sample":120,"case":"Austria Amateur - Regionalliga Ost: favourites at 1.71-2.00 -> this market hit 74% over 120 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.79 (1X2 1.79/3.9/3.5); table 5 v 6/16; team support: FCM Traiskirchen home 60% of 10, SC Wiener Viktoria away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72548814","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"12:00","league":"Kosovo - Liga e Pare","match":"KF Trepca Mitrovice v KF Istogu","market":"Double chance","selection":"KF Trepca Mitrovice or KF Istogu","odds":1.28,"confidence":0.71,"leagueFavRate":0.732,"sample":299,"case":"Kosovo - Liga e Pare: balanced games (model prices 2.97/3.56/2.62) -> this market hit 73% over 299 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.94 (1X2 1.94/3.1/3.33); table 14 v 10/18; team support: KF Trepca Mitrovice home 90% of 10, KF Istogu away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76364548","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"18:00","league":"Ivory Coast - Ligue 1","match":"Inova Sca v ASEC Mimosas","market":"Double chance","selection":"Inova Sca or ASEC Mimosas","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.707,"leagueFavRate":0.736,"sample":148,"case":"Ivory Coast - Ligue 1: low draw odds games (model prices 3.87/2.43/3.03) -> this market hit 74% over 148 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.77 (1X2 4.6/3.2/1.77); table 12 v 10/16; team support: Inova Sca home 80% of 10, ASEC Mimosas away 60% of 10; H2H 75% of 4. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76165508","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Northern Ireland - Championship","match":"Strabane Athletic FC v Annagh United FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Strabane Athletic FC or Annagh United FC","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.704,"leagueFavRate":0.798,"sample":84,"case":"Northern Ireland - Championship: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 4.42/4.53/1.81) -> this market hit 80% over 84 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.44 (1X2 5.9/4.25/1.44); table 15 v 1/16; team support: Strabane Athletic FC home 62% of 8, Annagh United FC away 70% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72346996","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"22:00","league":"Chile - Copa Chile","match":"Universidad de Chile v CD Antofagasta","market":"Double chance","selection":"Universidad de Chile or CD Antofagasta","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.699,"leagueFavRate":0.838,"sample":74,"case":"Chile - Copa Chile: balanced games (model prices 2.81/3.97/2.55) -> this market hit 84% over 74 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.39 (1X2 1.39/4.9/6.4); table 1 v 1/4; team support: Universidad de Chile home 90% of 10, CD Antofagasta away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75953650","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"15:20","league":"Oman - Omani League","match":"Dhofar SCSC v Saham","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.696,"leagueFavRate":0.818,"sample":77,"case":"Oman - Omani League: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.51/3.51/3.16) -> this market hit 82% over 77 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.55 (1X2 2.55/2.85/2.75); table 10 v 6/14; team support: Dhofar SCSC home 90% of 10, Saham away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76309274","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:00","league":"Rwanda - Premier League","match":"Sunrise FC v Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)","market":"Double chance","selection":"Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) or Draw","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.694,"leagueFavRate":0.723,"sample":101,"case":"Rwanda - Premier League: favourites at 1.51-1.70 -> this market hit 72% over 101 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.7 (1X2 4.6/3.1/1.7); table 6 v 16/18; team support: Sunrise FC home 60% of 10, Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) away 60% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73806112","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"11","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"02:00","league":"Costa Rica - Primera Division","match":"CD Escorpiones Belen v Liga Deportiva Alajuelense","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.694,"leagueFavRate":0.8,"sample":80,"case":"Costa Rica - Primera Division: balanced games (model prices 3.09/3.89/2.39) -> this market hit 80% over 80 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.46 (1X2 5.8/4.5/1.46); table 9 v 4/10; team support: CD Escorpiones Belen home 70% of 10, Liga Deportiva Alajuelense away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73095522","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"02:00","league":"Costa Rica - Primera Division","match":"CS Herediano v Deportivo Saprissa San Jose","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.31,"confidence":0.687,"leagueFavRate":0.8,"sample":80,"case":"Costa Rica - Primera Division: balanced games (model prices 3.3/3.84/2.29) -> this market hit 80% over 80 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.5 (1X2 2.5/3.2/2.65); table 8 v 3/10; team support: CS Herediano home 70% of 10, Deportivo Saprissa San Jose away 60% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72053682","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"18:00","league":"Argentina - Primera LPF","match":"CA Aldosivi v CA River Plate (ARG)","market":"Double chance","selection":"CA River Plate (ARG) or Draw","odds":1.1,"confidence":0.686,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"Argentina - Primera LPF: favourites at 1.36-1.50 -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (closing odds (football-data.co.uk), 3 seasons); fav price 1.42 (1X2 7.25/4.4/1.42); table 14 v 4/15; team support: CA Aldosivi home 70% of 10, CA River Plate (ARG) away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73265524","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"11","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Holywell Town v Airbus UK Broughton","market":"Double chance","selection":"Airbus UK Broughton or Draw","odds":1.12,"confidence":0.679,"leagueFavRate":0.877,"sample":65,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: favourites at 1.36-1.50 -> this market hit 88% over 65 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.42 (1X2 6.0/4.8/1.42); table 16 v 7/16; team support: Holywell Town home 90% of 10, Airbus UK Broughton away 60% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522162","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"11","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"15:30","league":"Romania - Superliga","match":"FC Uta Arad v FC Petrolul Ploiesti","market":"Double chance","selection":"FC Uta Arad or FC Petrolul Ploiesti","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.678,"leagueFavRate":0.706,"sample":235,"case":"Romania - Superliga: balanced games (model prices 2.5/3.78/2.98) -> this market hit 71% over 235 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.79 (1X2 1.79/3.8/4.2); table 10 v 5/16; team support: FC Uta Arad home 60% of 10, FC Petrolul Ploiesti away 90% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72388092","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"15:00","league":"Jordan - First Division","match":"Ittihad AL Ramtha v Maan SC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.26,"confidence":0.677,"leagueFavRate":0.838,"sample":68,"case":"Jordan - First Division: low draw odds games (model prices 2.5/2.94/3.86) -> this market hit 84% over 68 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.75 (1X2 1.75/3.4/4.25); table 4 v 7/12; team support: Ittihad AL Ramtha home 80% of 10, Maan SC away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 3. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74205860","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"01:30","league":"Peru - Liga 1","match":"Universitario de Deportes v Sport Boys Association","market":"Double chance","selection":"Universitario de Deportes or Draw","odds":1.11,"confidence":0.677,"leagueFavRate":0.841,"sample":69,"case":"Peru - Liga 1: favourites at 1.36-1.50 -> this market hit 84% over 69 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.46 (1X2 1.46/4.25/6.6); table 2 v 12/18; team support: Universitario de Deportes home 100% of 10, Sport Boys Association away 70% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75831042","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"01:00","league":"El Salvador - Primera Division","match":"CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan v Alianza FC San Salvador","market":"Double chance","selection":"CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan or Draw","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.668,"leagueFavRate":0.846,"sample":65,"case":"El Salvador - Primera Division: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.81/4.19/4.79) -> this market hit 85% over 65 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.72 (1X2 1.72/3.6/4.2); table 1 v 7/12; team support: CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan home 80% of 10, Alianza FC San Salvador away 90% of 10; H2H 67% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76365352","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"Crystal Palace v Hoffenheim","market":"Double chance","selection":"Crystal Palace or Hoffenheim","odds":1.27,"confidence":0.666,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.72/5.26/4.35) -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.98 (1X2 1.98/4.06/3.74); table 15 v 23/36; team support: Crystal Palace home 100% of 10, Hoffenheim away 90% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173026","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"20:00","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille","market":"Double chance","selection":"Bayer Leverkusen or Marseille","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.666,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.13/10.45/58.71) -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.4 (1X2 1.4/5.79/7.59); table 2 v 34/36; team support: Bayer Leverkusen home 90% of 10, Marseille away 100% of 10; H2H 100% of 2. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173042","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"15:00","league":"Jordan - First Division","match":"Amman FC v Al Hashemehya","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.28,"confidence":0.663,"leagueFavRate":0.838,"sample":68,"case":"Jordan - First Division: low draw odds games (model prices 1.91/3.56/5.15) -> this market hit 84% over 68 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.62 (1X2 1.62/3.6/5.0); table 2 v 8/12; team support: Amman FC home 90% of 10, Al Hashemehya away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 4. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74205856","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"12:00","league":"Jordan - First Division","match":"Sama AL Sarhan SC v Sahl Horan SC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.22,"confidence":0.663,"leagueFavRate":0.838,"sample":68,"case":"Jordan - First Division: low draw odds games (model prices 3.18/2.64/3.26) -> this market hit 84% over 68 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.15 (1X2 2.15/3.1/3.1); table 6 v 5/12; team support: Sama AL Sarhan SC home 60% of 10, Sahl Horan SC away 75% of 4; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74205864","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"15:00","league":"Jordan - First Division","match":"Al Yarmouk v Al-Ahly Amman","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.663,"leagueFavRate":0.838,"sample":68,"case":"Jordan - First Division: low draw odds games (model prices 2.18/3.64/3.76) -> this market hit 84% over 68 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.4 (1X2 2.4/3.1/2.75); table 3 v 9/12; team support: Al Yarmouk home 80% of 10, Al-Ahly Amman away 60% of 10; H2H 75% of 4. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74205866","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"01:00","league":"El Salvador - Primera Division","match":"Municipal Limeno v CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan","market":"Double chance","selection":"Municipal Limeno or Draw","odds":1.23,"confidence":0.662,"leagueFavRate":0.846,"sample":65,"case":"El Salvador - Primera Division: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.81/4.43/4.51) -> this market hit 85% over 65 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.82 (1X2 1.82/3.5/3.75); table 8 v 12/12; team support: Municipal Limeno home 70% of 10, CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan away 90% of 10; H2H 50% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73075408","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"21:00","league":"Honduras - Liga Nacional","match":"CD Genesis PN v Real CD Espana San Pedro Sula","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.661,"leagueFavRate":0.787,"sample":75,"case":"Honduras - Liga Nacional: balanced games (model prices 3.24/3.82/2.33) -> this market hit 79% over 75 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.2 (1X2 3.1/3.25/2.2); table 9 v 2/12; team support: CD Genesis PN home 70% of 10, Real CD Espana San Pedro Sula away 80% of 10; H2H 80% of 5. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76124628","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"Real Sociedad v Lyon","market":"Double chance","selection":"Real Sociedad or Lyon","odds":1.25,"confidence":0.66,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.48/5.93/6.47) -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.73 (1X2 1.73/4.27/4.79); table 14 v 12/36; team support: Real Sociedad home 80% of 10, Lyon away 80% of 10; H2H 80% of 5. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173034","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"18:30","league":"Austria - Bundesliga","match":"SK Rapid v Wolfsberger AC","market":"Double chance","selection":"SK Rapid or Wolfsberger AC","odds":1.11,"confidence":0.656,"leagueFavRate":0.773,"sample":75,"case":"Austria - Bundesliga: high draw odds games (model prices 1.26/7.51/13.99) -> this market hit 77% over 75 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.27 (1X2 1.27/6.4/8.8); table 1 v 12/12; team support: SK Rapid home 100% of 10, Wolfsberger AC away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72345570","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"AC Milan v Ferencvarosi Budapest","market":"Double chance","selection":"AC Milan or Ferencvarosi Budapest","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.653,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: unbalanced games (model prices 4.04/4.28/1.93) -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.37 (1X2 1.37/5.72/8.51); table 24 v 4/36; team support: AC Milan home 90% of 10, Ferencvarosi Budapest away 70% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173022","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"Sparta Prague v Bournemouth","market":"Double chance","selection":"Sparta Prague or Bournemouth","odds":1.2,"confidence":0.653,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: unbalanced games (model prices 3.87/4.09/2.01) -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.51 (1X2 6.51/4.93/1.51); table 16 v 3/36; team support: Sparta Prague home 90% of 10, Bournemouth away 70% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173024","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"13:00","league":"Uganda - Premier League","match":"Ntugasaze FC v Entebbe UPPC FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.653,"leagueFavRate":0.8,"sample":70,"case":"Uganda - Premier League: favourites at 1.36-1.50 -> this market hit 80% over 70 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.36 (1X2 8.1/4.1/1.36); table 16 v 4/18; team support: Ntugasaze FC home 75% of 4, Entebbe UPPC FC away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73961728","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"12:45","league":"Oman - Omani League","match":"Fanja v AL Musannah SC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Fanja or AL Musannah SC","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.652,"leagueFavRate":0.766,"sample":77,"case":"Oman - Omani League: balanced + low draw odds games (model prices 2.89/3.08/3.05) -> this market hit 77% over 77 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.1/3.1/3.3); table 8 v 7/14; team support: Fanja home 83% of 6, AL Musannah SC away 70% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76309272","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"RSC Anderlecht v Salzburg","market":"Double chance","selection":"RSC Anderlecht or Salzburg","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.646,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":62,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: unbalanced games (model prices 1.8/4.4/4.64) -> this market hit 86% over 62 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.05 (1X2 2.05/3.88/3.66); table 22 v 21/36; team support: RSC Anderlecht home 90% of 10, Salzburg away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 3. Risk: short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173036","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"unbal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"11:30","league":"India - Indian Super League","match":"Churchill Brothers SC v Northeast United FC","market":"Double chance","selection":"Churchill Brothers SC or Draw","odds":1.77,"confidence":0.638,"leagueFavRate":0.847,"sample":59,"case":"India - Indian Super League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 4.9/4.47/1.75) -> this market hit 85% over 59 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.9 (1X2 3.75/3.6/1.9); table 9 v 2/13; team support: Churchill Brothers SC home 80% of 10, Northeast United FC away 80% of 10; H2H 100% of 1. Risk: thin league sample; away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75110500","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"9","thinSample":true,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"15:30","league":"Iraq - Stars League","match":"AL Mosul SC v Duhok FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.23,"confidence":0.631,"leagueFavRate":0.815,"sample":65,"case":"Iraq - Stars League: balanced + high draw odds games (model prices 2.86/3.98/2.51) -> this market hit 82% over 65 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.25 (1X2 3.0/3.1/2.25); table 16 v 10/20; team support: AL Mosul SC home 60% of 10, Duhok FC away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 2. Risk: away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75949108","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"England Amateur - Northern Premier League Premier","match":"Quorn FC v Alfreton Town FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.16,"confidence":0.615,"leagueFavRate":0.855,"sample":55,"case":"England Amateur - Northern Premier League Premier: balanced games (model prices 2.56/4.3/2.65) -> this market hit 86% over 55 games (PPG proxy, 1 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.9/3.5/2.1); table 15 v 11/22; team support: Quorn FC home 90% of 10, Alfreton Town FC away 70% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: thin league sample; away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73018686","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":true,"strategy":"balance","bucket":"bal"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"00:30","league":"Bolivia - Copa Bolivia","match":"The Strongest v Always Ready","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.14,"confidence":0.613,"leagueFavRate":0.913,"sample":46,"case":"Bolivia - Copa Bolivia: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.66/5.4/4.71) -> this market hit 91% over 46 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.2 (1X2 2.2/3.7/2.8); table 1 v 2/4; team support: The Strongest home 100% of 10, Always Ready away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: thin league sample; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:75478298","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":true,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:45","league":"Wales - Cymru Premier","match":"Llandudno FC v The New Saints FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 2.5","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.609,"leagueFavRate":0.718,"sample":78,"case":"Wales - Cymru Premier: favourites at 1.20-1.35 -> this market hit 72% over 78 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.12 (1X2 16.0/8.2/1.12); table 10 v 1/16; team support: Llandudno FC home 60% of 10, The New Saints FC away 60% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72522164","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=2.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":false,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"Lillestroem SK v Viktoria Plzen","market":"Double chance","selection":"Lillestroem SK or Viktoria Plzen","odds":1.29,"confidence":0.606,"leagueFavRate":0.849,"sample":53,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: high draw odds games (model prices 2.41/4.29/2.85) -> this market hit 85% over 53 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.29 (1X2 3.1/3.84/2.29); table 31 v 33/36; team support: Lillestroem SK home 90% of 10, Viktoria Plzen away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: thin league sample; away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173028","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":true,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"01:30","league":"Honduras - Liga Nacional","match":"CD Marathon San Pedro Sula v Platense FC Puerto Cortes","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.23,"confidence":0.604,"leagueFavRate":0.88,"sample":50,"case":"Honduras - Liga Nacional: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 1.48/5.31/7.43) -> this market hit 88% over 50 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.39 (1X2 1.39/4.5/7.3); table 4 v 11/12; team support: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula home 70% of 10, Platense FC Puerto Cortes away 90% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: thin league sample; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:76124632","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":true,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"19:00","league":"France - Ligue 2","match":"USL Dunkerque v Guingamp","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.46,"confidence":0.601,"leagueFavRate":0.754,"sample":69,"case":"France - Ligue 2: balanced + high draw odds games (model prices 2.48/3.99/2.89) -> this market hit 75% over 69 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.45 (1X2 2.75/3.5/2.45); table 12 v 9/18; team support: USL Dunkerque home 90% of 10, Guingamp away 60% of 10; H2H 83% of 6. Risk: away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:72037440","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":false,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"bal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"20:00","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League","match":"Alkmaar v Juventus","market":"Double chance","selection":"Alkmaar or Juventus","odds":1.3,"confidence":0.6,"leagueFavRate":0.849,"sample":53,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Europa League: high draw odds games (model prices 2.55/4.37/2.64) -> this market hit 85% over 53 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 2.13 (1X2 3.53/3.75/2.13); table 10 v 7/36; team support: Alkmaar home 70% of 10, Juventus away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: thin league sample; away favourite; price band volatility","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173040","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":true,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"12:15","league":"International Clubs - AFC Champions League Two","match":"PKR Svay Rieng v BG Tampines Rovers","market":"Double chance","selection":"PKR Svay Rieng or BG Tampines Rovers","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.59,"leagueFavRate":0.878,"sample":49,"case":"International Clubs - AFC Champions League Two: high draw odds games (model prices 1.34/6.25/10.41) -> this market hit 88% over 49 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.49 (1X2 1.49/4.6/5.6); table 2 v 4/4; team support: PKR Svay Rieng home 60% of 10, BG Tampines Rovers away 90% of 10; H2H 100% of 1. Risk: thin league sample; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73835308","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":true,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"17:45","league":"International Clubs - UEFA Conference League","match":"Lincoln Red Imps v HNK Hajduk Split","market":"Double chance","selection":"Lincoln Red Imps or HNK Hajduk Split","odds":1.18,"confidence":0.584,"leagueFavRate":0.827,"sample":52,"case":"International Clubs - UEFA Conference League: unbalanced + high draw odds games (model prices 4.28/4.89/1.78) -> this market hit 83% over 52 games (PPG proxy, 2 season(s)); fav price 1.42 (1X2 8.06/5.19/1.42); table 33 v 8/36; team support: Lincoln Red Imps home 80% of 10, HNK Hajduk Split away 90% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. Risk: thin league sample; away favourite; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:74173288","marketId":"10","specifier":"","outcomeId":"10","thinSample":true,"strategy":"balance+draw-odds","bucket":"unbal+highD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"10:00","league":"International Clubs - AFC Champions League Two","match":"Machida Zelvia v Shanghai Shenhua FC","market":"Total goals","selection":"Over 1.5","odds":1.21,"confidence":0.582,"leagueFavRate":0.857,"sample":49,"case":"International Clubs - AFC Champions League Two: low draw odds games (model prices 1.75/3.03/10.12) -> this market hit 86% over 49 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 1.32 (1X2 1.32/5.2/8.2); table 1 v 3/4; team support: Machida Zelvia home 90% of 10, Shanghai Shenhua FC away 70% of 10; H2H 50% of 2. Risk: thin league sample; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73835306","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=1.5","outcomeId":"12","thinSample":true,"strategy":"draw-odds","bucket":"lowD"},{"date":"2026-11-05","ko":"22:00","league":"Paraguay - Division de Honor","match":"Rubio Nu v Sportivo Luqueno","market":"Total goals","selection":"Under 3.5","odds":1.26,"confidence":0.564,"leagueFavRate":0.867,"sample":45,"case":"Paraguay - Division de Honor: favourites at 2.01-2.40 -> this market hit 87% over 45 games (PPG proxy, 1 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.1/3.3/3.33); table 10 v 9/12; team support: Rubio Nu home 70% of 10, Sportivo Luqueno away 70% of 10; H2H 100% of 6. Risk: thin league sample; short single-leg price, mainly adds safety","result":"pending","eventId":"sr:match:73038644","marketId":"18","specifier":"total=3.5","outcomeId":"13","thinSample":true,"strategy":"favourite","bucket":null},{"date":"2026-11-06","ko":"16:00","league":"Croatia - Prva NL","match":"NK Karlovac 1919 v HNK Vukovar 1991","market":"Double chance","selection":"NK Karlovac 1919 or HNK Vukovar 1991","odds":1.28,"confidence":0.56,"leagueFavRate":0.778,"sample":54,"case":"Croatia - Prva NL: balanced + high draw odds games (model prices 2.11/4.25/3.44) -> this market hit 78% over 54 games (PPG proxy, 3 season(s)); fav price 2.1 (1X2 2.1/3.3/3.2); table 11 v 15/16; team support: NK Karlovac 1919 home 80% of 10, HNK Vukovar 1991 away 80% of 10; H2H 0% of 0. 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